HAN Jinhui,ZHAO Wenjin,YANG Tiantong,et al.Evaluation of Sustainable Land Use and Diagnosis of Obstacle Factors in Agro-Pastoral Zone of Northeast China Based on Improved TOPSIS Method[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2018,25(03):279-284,291.
基于改进TOPSIS法的东北农牧交错区土地可持续利用评价及障碍因子诊断
- Title:
- Evaluation of Sustainable Land Use and Diagnosis of Obstacle Factors in Agro-Pastoral Zone of Northeast China Based on Improved TOPSIS Method
- 分类号:
- F301.2
- 摘要:
- 为了解东北农牧交错区土地可持续利用水平及主要障碍因子，从经济可行性、资源环境可持续性和社会可接受性3个方面，选取21个指标构建了土地可持续利用评价指标体系，应用基于组合权重法和灰色关联分析法改进的TOPSIS法和障碍度模型对2005-2014年白城市土地可持续利用水平进行了评价和分析。结果表明：（1） 2005-2014年白城市土地可持续利用总体水平不断提高，综合贴近度由0.335 5增加到0.632 0，可持续利用水平由"较低水平"上升为"较高水平"。（2） 从长远分析，经济可行性障碍度总体呈下降态势，资源环境可持续性障碍度和社会可接受性障碍度总体呈上升态势。（3） 影响白城市土地可持续利用的主要障碍因子包括人口自然增长率、建成区绿化覆盖率、草原覆盖率、第三产业产值占GDP比例等。为了促进白城市土地可持续利用水平不断提高，需要在控制人口增速的基础上，进一步调整经济结构，加强土地利用管理，有效控制草原退化速度。
- Abstract:
- In order to know the level of sustainable land use and main obstacle factors of agro-pastoral zone of northeast China, the evaluation index system was constructed from economic possibility, sustainability of resources environment and social acceptability including 21 indicators. The level of sustainable land use in Baicheng was evaluated and analyzed from 2005 to 2014 with improved TOPSIS method based on combination weight method and grey relational analysis. The results showed that the level of sustainable land use in Baicheng had been gradually improved from 2005 to 2014 with the comprehensive close degree increasing from 0.335 5 to 0.6 320. The level of sustainable land use had risen from lower level to higher level. In the long run, the obstacle degree of economic possibility reduced. And the obstacle degree of sustainability of resources environment and social acceptability increased. The natural population growth rate, green coverage rate of developed areas, grassland coverage, and the ratio of third industry output values to GDP were verified to be the key obstacles for further improvement of sustainable land use in Baicheng. The sustainable land use was continuously improved by controlling population growth, further adjusting the economic structure, strengthening land use management, effectively controlling grassland degradation and so on.
参考文献/References:
[1] 戴尔阜,吴绍洪.土地持续利用研究进展[J].地理科学进展,2004,23(1):79-88.
[2] 张利,陈影,王树涛,等.滨海快速城市化地区土地生态安全评价与预警:以曹妃甸新区为例[J].应用生态学报,2015,26(8):2445-2454.
[3] 卢远,华璀,王娟.东北农牧交错带典型区土地利用变化及其生态效应[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2006,16(2):58-62.
[4] 张军涛.东北农牧交错区生态环境影响因素研究[J].地域研究与开发,2008,27(1):113-116.
[5] 张图.东北农牧交错带典型区土地利用[J].农村实用科技信息,2016(8):4-4.
[6] 田冰,贾金生,侯喜梅.土地可持续利用评价指标研究[J].河北农业大学学报,2001,24(4):90-92.
[7] 吴书光,张红凤.基于PSR模型的土地可持续利用指标体系构建与实证研究:以山东省为例[J].经济与管理评论,2013(6):66-70.
[8] 朱豪.基于DPSIR模型的耕地可持续利用研究:以新郑市为例[D].河南焦作:河南理工大学,2013.
[9] 李佳,雷国平,崔明哲,等.基于三角模型的矿业城市土地利用可持续性评价[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(5):196-201.
[10] 鄢然,雷国平,孙丽娜,等.基于灰色关联法的哈尔滨市土地可持续利用评价研究[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(1):154-158.
[11] 李红礼,高建华,卢红岩.基于BP神经网络的河南省土地可持续利用评价研究[J].国土与自然资源研究,2009(1):27-29.
[12] 张玉启.基于生态足迹方法的四川省土地资源可持续利用研究[D].重庆:西南大学,2011.
[13] 袁磊,雷国平,张小虎.基于循环经济理念的黑龙江土地可持续利用评价[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(1):127-133.
[14] 鲁春阳,文枫,杨庆媛,等.基于改进TOPSIS法的城市土地利用绩效评价及障碍因子诊断:以重庆市为例[J].资源科学,2011,33(3):535-541.
[15] 张茹,戴文婷,刘兆顺,等.我国北方农牧交错区土地生态安全评价:以白城市为例[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(2):259-266.
[16] 叶正伟,孙艳丽.基于AHP-Topsis的南通市环境灾害风险评价[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(4):230-234.
[17] 杜挺,谢贤健,梁海艳,等.基于熵权TOPSIS和GIS的重庆市县域经济综合评价及空间分析[J].经济地理,2014,34(6):40-47.
[18] 王志新,何俊仕.基于改进TOPSIS法的通辽市水土资源利用效益评价[J].节水灌溉,2016(1):68-72.
[19] 欧阳继红,王仲佳,刘大有.具有动态加权特性的关联规则算法[J].吉林大学学报:理学版,2005,43(3):314-319.
[20] 刘思峰.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2010.
[21] 张霞,郑郁,王亚萍.基于灰色关联度的TOPSIS模型在秦岭生态功能区水土保持治理效益评价中的应用[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(6):188-191.
[22] 周磊,黄秋昊.基于灰色关联TOPSIS的城市土地效益评价及障碍因子诊断[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(4):39-44.
[23] 张锐,刘友兆.我国耕地生态安全评价及障碍因子诊断[J].长江流域资源与环境,2013,22(7):945-951.
相似文献/References:
[1]李佳,雷国平,崔明哲,等.基于三角模型的矿业城市土地利用可持续性评价[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(05):196.
LI Jia,LEI Guo-ping,CUI Ming-zhe,et al.Evaluation of Mining-oriented Urban Land Use Sustainability Based on Triangle Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(03):196.
[2]鄢然,雷国平,孙丽娜,等.基于灰色关联法的哈尔滨市土地可持续利用评价研究[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(01):154.
YAN Ran,LEI Guo-ping,SUN Li-na,et al.Evaluation on the Sustainable Land Use in Urban Area of Harbin Based on Grey Relation Analysis[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(03):154.
[3]徐保根.土地可持续利用与生态农业产业化经营评估研究——以隰县试区为例[J].水土保持研究,2000,7(04):43.
Xu Baogen.On the Evaluation of Sustainable Land Use and Eco-agricultural Industrialization Management——Taking Xi County as An Example[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2000,7(03):43.
[4]李璐璐,黄贤金,钟太洋.区域土地利用变化态势及其对土地可持续利用影响分析——以江苏省为例[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(02):202.
LI Lu-lu,HUANG Xian-jin,ZHONG Tai-yang.Trend of Regional Land Use Structure and Its Impacts on Sustainable Land Use——A Case Study of Jiangsu Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(03):202.
[5]夏照华,张克斌,李瑞,等.基于NDVI的农牧交错区植被覆盖度变化研究——以宁夏盐池县为例[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(06):178.
XIA Zhao-hua,ZHANG Ke-bin,LI Rui,et al.Study on the Change of Vegetation Fraction in Agro-pastoral Transition Area Based on NDVI——A Case Study in Yanchi County, Ningxia[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(03):178.
[6]秦作栋,王孟本,薛占金.晋北地区土地沙化现状及其成因分析[J].水土保持研究,2008,15(02):168.
QIN Zuo-dong,WANG Meng-ben,XUE Zhan-jin.An Analysis of Present Situation and Causes of Sandification in North Shanxi Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2008,15(03):168.
[7]王林林,董立峰,宋芙蓉,等.库布齐沙漠典型农牧交错区沙漠化动态研究[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(03):121.
WANG Lin-lin,DONG Li-feng,SONG Fu-rong,et al.Dynamics Analysis of Desertification in Typical Farming-Pastoral Ecotone of Hobq Desert[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(03):121.
[8]王同顺,郭建英,孙保平,等.农牧交错区退耕还林地土壤恢复特征的研究——以内蒙古卓资县为例[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(06):134.
WANG Tong-shun,GUO Jian-ying,SUN Bao-ping,et al.The Research of Characteristics of Soil Restoration of Conversion Cropland to Forest in the Farming-pastoral Zone—Taking Example of Zhuozi County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(03):134.
[9]袁磊,雷国平,张小虎.基于循环经济理念的黑龙江土地可持续利用评价[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(01):127.
YUAN Lei,LEI Guo-ping,ZHANG Xiao-hu.Land Sustainable Use Assessment Based on Circular Economy Concept in Heilongjiang Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(03):127.
[10]程中秋,张克斌,常进,等.农牧交错区天然草地植被的波动[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(04):189.
CHENG Zhong-qiu,ZHANG Ke-bin,CHANG Jin,et al.Fluctuation of Vegetation in Natural Grassland of Farming-pastoral Ecotone[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(03):189.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2017-07-21;改回日期:2017-08-07。
基金项目:国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项基金“辽河源头区水污染综合治理技术及示范研究”（2012ZX07202-009）
作者简介:韩锦辉(1991-),男,河南周口人,硕士研究生,主要从事环境影响评价与规划研究。E-mail:596916440@qq.com
通讯作者:赵文晋(1973-),男,辽宁葫芦岛人,教授,博士,主要从事环境影响评价与规划研究。E-mail:zhaowj@jlu.edu.cn