[1]毛亚会,余丹林,郑江华,等.中国西北地区脆弱性综合评价[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(06):392-396.
　MAO Yahui,YU Danlin,ZHENG Jianghua,et al.Assessment on Vulnerability in Northwestern Territories of China[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(06):392-396.
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中国西北地区脆弱性综合评价

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 24 期数: 2017年06期 页码: 392-396 栏目: 出版日期: 2017-11-24
Title:
Assessment on Vulnerability in Northwestern Territories of China
作者:
毛亚会1, 余丹林2, 郑江华1, 常琳琳1
1. 新疆大学 资源与环境科学学院, 乌鲁木齐 830046;
2. 美国新泽西州蒙特克莱尔大学 地球与环境研究系, 美国 新泽西 07043
Author(s):
MAO Yahui1, YU Danlin2, ZHENG Jianghua1, CHANG Linlin1
1. College of Resources and Environment Sciences, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, Xinjiang;
2. Earth and Environmental Studies, Montclair State University, Montclair 07043, USA
关键词:
脆弱性; 综合评价; 熵值法; 西北地区
Keywords:
vulnerability; comprehensive evaluation; entropy method; northwestern territories
分类号:
X24
摘要:
脆弱性是在社会发展过程中应对外界环境、经济、社会和资源等发生变化自我恢复的能力。当自我恢复能力达到某一临界值时，该地区处于健康的社会发展状态。从经济、社会和生态环境3个层面构建中国西北地区脆弱性综合评价体系，并运用熵值法确定指标权重，建立脆弱性模型计算2004-2013年西北地区脆弱性指数。研究发现：近10年来西北地区脆弱性总体上逐渐减小，各省最大下降率分别为：陕西46.83%、甘肃47.40%、青海29.84%、宁夏45.95%和新疆24.62%。演化过程段可分为2004-2008年的高脆弱性指数和2009-2013年的低脆弱性指数，且省区域脆弱性指数差距逐渐缩小。子系统演变特征分析上，各省子系统脆弱性整体呈波动性下降趋势。经济系统脆弱性可分为快速下降时期（2004-2008年）和缓慢下降时期（2009-2013年），并表现出经济主导型脆弱性向资源主导型脆弱性转变。探究西北地区社会发展与变化规律，以综合视角和科学测度方法来建立决策支持系统，促进其可持续发展。
Abstract:
Vulnerability refers to the ability of resisting natural disasters and human activities including economy, social development and ecological environment etc. In the process of rapid urbanization, using entropy method to determine the index weight and to establish the vulnerability calculation model, we analyzed the evolution of vulnerability in northwestern territories from 2004 to 2013 by constructing comprehensive evaluation system of vulnerability in northwestern territories. The results showed as follows. The vulnerability of the northwestern territories generally declined in last 10 years, the maximum decrease rates were 46.83% in Shanxi, 47.40% in Gansu, 29.84% in Qinghai, 45.95% in Ningxia and 24.62% in Xinjiang. The changes of vulnerability can be divided into a high vulnerability dominant phase (2004-2008) and low vulnerability dominant phase (2009-2013). And the vulnerability index of the regional disparity gap shrank. With respect to the subsystem features, the vulnerability of economy, social development and ecological environment presented the fluctuating decline. The economic vulnerability of the subsystem can be divided into rapid decline stage(2004-2008)and slow decline stage (2009-2013), the impact of ecological environment vulnerability increased, and the impact of economic vulnerability reduced significantly. It is the key to achieve sustainable development in northwestern territories which needs the comprehensive consideration of vulnerability and implementation plan to re-establish the decision support system.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2016-11-22;改回日期:2016-12-14。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金地区科学资助项目“采用空间数据分析和地学计算方法研究基于微地理单元的城市脆弱度问题”（41461035）
作者简介:毛亚会(1992-),女,河南信阳人,硕士研究生,主要从事地图学与地理信息系统方面研究。E-mail:mao_yahui741@163.com
通讯作者:郑江华(1973-),男,新疆吐鲁番人,博士,教授,主要从事地理信息系统和遥感技术应用研究。E-mail:zheng_jianghua@126.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01