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收稿日期:2015-12-29;改回日期:2016-02-23。
基金项目:山东省气象局科技项目“山东省极端强降水变化特征及应用研究”(2015sdqxm05);山东省飑线的天气学概念模型研究(2015sdqxm01)
作者简介:李胜利(1978-),男,山东莱芜人,硕士研究生,工程师,研究方向为大气探测、人工影响天气等。E-mail:lishengli_1978@sina.cn
通讯作者:巩在武(1975-),男,山东临沂人,博士后,教授,主要从事模糊决策理论、灰色系统理论研究。E-mail:zwgong26@163.com