WEI Qianqian,REN Zhiyuan.Spatial Differences of Cultivated Land Change and Driving Force Analysis in Typical Semi-Arid Area—A Case Study of Xi’an City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(01):284-288.
半干旱地区典型城市耕地面积变化空间差异及驱动力分析——以西安市为例
- Title:
- Spatial Differences of Cultivated Land Change and Driving Force Analysis in Typical Semi-Arid Area—A Case Study of Xi’an City
- Keywords:
- cultivated land change; spatial differences; PCA; driving force; Xi’an City
- 分类号:
- F301.21
- 摘要:
- 以西安市为例，分析了其2000—2012年耕地面积变化及空间差异，并采用主成分分析法，从人口、经济、产业结构、生活水平和城镇化水平5个方面共选择14个因子，揭示了近13年来西安市耕地面积变化的作用机制，从而为制定合理的耕地保护制度和政策提供参考依据。研究结果表明：（1）西安市耕地面积总体呈逐渐下降趋势，年平均递减率为1.38%；（2）西安市耕地面积变化的主要驱动力因素是经济发展、城镇化水平、农业因素，这三者构成了西安市耕地面积变化的主要驱动力；（3）可以从减少建设用地占用、促进经济发展模式的转变和加强对农业结构调整的引导3个方面来遏制西安市耕地面积锐减的趋势。
- Abstract:
- In order to provide reference for the development of rational farmland protection system and policies, we took Xi’an City as an example, used the principal component analysis, arable land from 2000 to 2012 data and related socio-economic data based on 14 factors selected from the demographic, economic, industrial structure, living standards and the level of urbanization five areas altogether, to reveal the mechanism of the change of cultivated land area in Xi’an City in the nearly 13 years. The results showed that: (1) the overall arable land of Xi’an City decreased gradually, the annual average decreasing rate was 1.38%; (2) the main driving forces on the change of cultivated land area in Xi’an City was the economic development, urbanization level, agricultural factors, which constituted the main driving forces to cultivated land change in Xi’an City; (3) meanwhile, the trend of sharp decline of arable land in Xi’an City can be curbed through these 3 aspects: reduction of occupation from the construction land, promotion of economic development mode transformation and strengthening the guidance of adjustment of agricultural structure.
参考文献/References:
[1] 宋戈,吴次芳,王杨.城镇化发展与耕地保护关系研究[J].农业经济问题,2006,27(1):64-67.
[2] 郇红艳,谭清美,朱平.城乡一体化进程中耕地利用变化的驱动力因素及区域比较[J].农业工程学报,2013,29(21):201-213.
[3] 郭杰,欧名豪,刘琼,等.江苏省耕地资源动态变化及驱动力研究[J].长江流域资源与环境,2009,18(2):139-145.
[4] 曲福田,陈江龙,陈雯.农地非农化经济驱动机制的理论分析与实证研究[J].自然资源学报,2005,20(2):231-241.
[5] 周京奎,王岳龙.大中城市周边农地非农化进程驱动机制分析:基于中国130个城市面板数据的经验[J].经济评论,2010(2):24-34.
[6] 曲福田,吴丽梅.经济增长与耕地非农化的库兹涅茨曲线假说及验证[J].资源科学,2004,26(5):61-67.
[7] 高魏,闵捷,张安录.农地城市流转与城市化、经济增长动态关系的计量经济分析:以湖北省1980-2003年为例[J].资源科学,2010,32(3):564-572.
[8] 万胜超,王良健,刘敏.基于空间的省际农地非农化驱动因素研究[J].经济地理,2012,32(7):123-128.
[9] Song Xiaoqing, Ouyang Zhu, Li Yunsheng, et al. Cultivated land use change in China, 1999-2007:Policy development perspectives[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences,2012,22(6):1061-1078.
[10] 李伟,郝晋珉,冯婷婷,等.基于计量经济模型的中国耕地数量变化政策与资产因素分析[J].农业工程学报,2008,24(6):115-118.
[11] 姚远,李效顺,曲福田.中国经济增长与耕地资源变化计量分析[J].农业工程学报,2012,28(14):209-215.
[12] 陈利根,龙开胜.耕地资源数量与经济发展关系的计量分析[J].中国土地科学,2007,21(4):4-10.
[13] 汪涌,蔡运龙,蒙吉军.中国耕地流转驱动力研究综述[J].资源科学,2007,29(3):177-182.
[14] 郭雅雯,赵敏娟.基于STIRPAT模型的陕西省耕地面积变化社会经济驱动力分析[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(6):197-201.
[15] 吴美琼,陈秀贵.基于主成分分析法的钦州市耕地面积变化及其驱动力分析[J].地理科学,2014,34(1):54-59.
[16] 刘彦彤,张延军,赵玲.长春市耕地动态变化及其驱动力分析[J].地理科学,2011,31(7):868-873.
[17] 白小梅,李壁成,白均堂,等.陕西省旬邑县耕地面积变化及驱动力分析[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(5):59-62.
[18] 詹文娟,裴豪杰,黄琼,等.滁州市耕地变化及驱动力分析[J].浙江农业科学,2015,56(3):409-411.
[19] 倪超,杨胜天,罗秋滨,等.黑龙江省耕地集约利用驱动力分析[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(3):146-151.
相似文献/References:
[1]柯新利,韩冰华,刘蓉霞,等.1990年以来武汉城市圈土地利用变化时空特征研究[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(01):76.
KE Xin-li,HAN Bing-hua,LIU Rong-xia,et al.Study on Spatial-Temporal Characteristics of Land Use Change in Wuhan Metropolitan Area Since 1990[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(01):76.
[2]石长金,孙雪文,汪星.黑龙江省区域旱灾的综合统计分析[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(01):160.
SHI Chang-jin,SUN Xue-wen,WANG Xing.Synthesis Statistical Analysis on Regional Drought in Heilongjiang Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(01):160.
[3]党国锋.定西市耕地资源变化社会驱动力及模型研究[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(06):354.
DANG Guo-feng.Studies on Social Driving Forces and Model of the Cultivated Land Change in Dingxi City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(01):354.
[4]白小梅,李壁成,白均堂,等.陕西省旬邑县耕地面积变化及驱动力分析[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(05):59.
BAI Xiao-mei,LI Bi-cheng,BAI Jun-tang,et al.Analysis on the Change of Arable Land Area and Its Driving Force in Xunyi County of Shaanxi Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(01):59.
[5]叶长盛,黄建军.江西省县域农村居民纯收入空间差异研究[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(03):153.
YE Chang-sheng,HUANG Jian-jun.Analysis on Spatial Difference of the Rural Resident’s Net-income in Jiangxi Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(01):153.
[6]杨雪梅,石培基,潘竟虎,等.甘肃省城市经济低碳度综合评价及其空间差异分析[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(05):52.
YANG Xue-mei,SHI Pei-ji,PAN Jing-hu,et al.An Exploration on Comprehensive Evaluation of Urban Low-carbon Economy and Its Spatial Disparity Analysis in Gansu Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(01):52.
[7]金巨刚,周生路,张燕,等.江苏省土地利用协调性空间差异研究[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(03):250.
JIN Ju-gang,ZHOU Sheng-lu,ZHANG Yan,et al.Spatial Difference Research of Land Use Coordination in Jiangsu Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(01):250.
[8]王兆华,张杰,贾永健,等.兰州市耕地资源变化的社会驱动力研究[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(05):55.
WANG Zhao-hua,ZHANG Jie,JIA Yong-jian,et al.Studies on Change and Social Driving Forces of the Cultivated Land Resource in Lanzhou[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(01):55.
[9]柯新利,黄翔,杨柏寒.基于ESDA的武汉城市圈耕地利用集约度空间差异分析[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(02):287.
KE Xinli,HUANG Xiang,YANG Bohan.Analysis on Spatial Heterogeneity of Cultivated Land Use Intensity in Wuhan City Circle Based on ESDA[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(01):287.
[10]张浩,李世平,靳亚亚,等.河北省耕地利用效率空间差异及影响因素[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(03):185.
ZHANG Hao,LI Shiping,JIN Yaya,et al.The Spatial Difference of the Farmland Use Efficiency and Its Influencing Factors in Hebei Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(01):185.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2015-03-17;改回日期:2015-03-27。
基金项目:国家自然科学资助项目（41371523）
作者简介:魏倩倩(1989-),女,河南开封人,硕士,研究方向为资源环境遥感与GIS。E-mail:1172558519@qq.com
通讯作者:任志远(1953-),男,陕西兴平人,教授,博士生导师,主要从事国土资源开发与生态安全评价研究。E-mail:renzhy@snnu.edu.cn