[1]戴明宏,王腊春,魏兴萍.基于熵权的模糊综合评价模型的广西水资源承载力空间分异研究[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(01):193-199.
　DAI Minghong,WANG Lachun,WEI Xingping.Spatial Difference of Water Resource Carrying Capacity of Guangxi Using Fussy Comprehensive Evaluation Model Based on Entropy Weight Method[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(01):193-199.
点击复制

基于熵权的模糊综合评价模型的广西水资源承载力空间分异研究

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 23 期数: 2016年01期 页码: 193-199 栏目: 出版日期: 2016-02-28
Title:
Spatial Difference of Water Resource Carrying Capacity of Guangxi Using Fussy Comprehensive Evaluation Model Based on Entropy Weight Method
作者:
戴明宏1, 王腊春1, 魏兴萍2
1. 南京大学 地理与海洋科学学院, 南京 210023;
2. 重庆师范大学 地理与旅游学院GIS应用研究重庆市重点实验室, 重庆 400047
Author(s):
DAI Minghong1, WANG Lachun1, WEI Xingping2
1. School of Geographic and Oceanographic Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China;
2. Key Laboratory of GIS Application, College of Geography and Tourism, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 400047, China
关键词:
水资源承载力; 模糊综合评价模型; 熵权法; 空间分异
Keywords:
water resource carrying capacity; fussy comprehensive evaluation model; entropy eight method; spatial difference
分类号:
TV213
摘要:
水资源承载力评价是水资源安全管理的基础。以喀斯特典型省份广西壮族自治区为研究对象，选取评价指标并用熵权法赋权，构建模糊综合评价模型，对2013年广西各地市水资源承载力进行综合评价分析。评价结果显示：2013年广西水资源承载力状况总体较好，其中桂林市、柳州市处于理想可承载状态，贵港市处于不可承载状态，其他地市均处于可承载状态。从各子系统来看，供需子系统总体状况较好，防城港市的供需子系统评价指数最高，南宁市和贵港市的评价指数最低；生态环境子系统评价指数普遍较低，桂林市的评价指数最高；社会经济子系统方面，柳州市、桂林市和防城港市评价指数最高，而贵港市的评价指数最低。评价结果对广西及各地市水资源规划和水资源可持续开发利用具有一定的借鉴和参考价值。
Abstract:
Water resource carrying capacity evaluation is the basis of water security management. Selecting Guangxi Province, a typical karst region as the study area, we selected the evaluation indices from three sub-systems: water resource, socio-economic and ecological environment. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of water resource carrying capacity was constructed to evaluate water resource carrying capacity of Guangxi in 2013 using entropy weight method. It was shown that the overall water resource carrying capacity in Guangxi in 2013 was in good condition. The water resource carrying capacity of Guilin City and Liuzhou City are in an ideal state. The water resource carrying capacity of Guigang City is in a non-carrying state. Other cities are in a carrying state. Seeing each subsystem, the overall water resource subsystem is in good condition, among which the highest index of water resource subsystem evaluation is found in Fangchenggang City, and the lowest one is observed in Nanning City and Guigang City. The ecological subsystem evaluation index is generally low, among which the highest index is found in Guilin City. The highest index of socio-economic subsystem evaluation is observed in Liuzhou City, Guilin City and Fangchenggang City, while the lowest is observed in Guigang City. The evaluation results of this method can help water resource planning and sustainable development and utilization in Guangxi and other regions.

参考文献/References:

[1] 夏军.水资源安全的度量:水资源承载力的研究与挑战(一)[J].海河水利,2002,17(2):5-7.
[2] 夏军,朱一中.水资源安全的度量:水资源承载力的研究与挑战[J].自然资源学报,2002,17(3):262-269.
[3] 段春青,刘昌明,陈晓楠,等.区域水资源承载力概念及研究方法的探讨[J].地理学报,2010(1):82-90.
[4] 张永勇,夏军,王中根.区域水资源承载力理论与方法探讨[J].地理科学进展,2007,26(2):126-132.
[5] 许有鹏.干旱区水资源承载能力综合评价研究:以新疆和田河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,1993,8(3):229-237.
[6] 贺中华,梁虹,黄法苏,等.喀斯特地区地下水资源承载力综合评价研究:以贵州省为例[J].水文,2010,30(3):22-27.
[7] 黄庆旭,何春阳,史培军,等.气候干旱和经济发展双重压力下的北京水资源承载力变化情景模拟研究[J].自然资源学报,2009,24(5):859-870.
[8] 黎明,李百战.重庆市都市圈水资源承载力分析与预测[J].生态学报,2009,29(12):6499-6505.
[9] 朱一中,夏军,谈戈.西北地区水资源承载力分析预测与评价[J].资源科学,2003,25(4):43-48.
[10] 朱玲燕,苏维词.基于熵权法及灰色关联模型的水资源承载力研究[J].水资源与水工程学报,2014(5):233-236.
[11] Rakhmatullaev S, Marache A, Huneau F, et al. Geostatistical approach for the assessment of the water reservoir capacity in arid regions:A case study of the Akdarya reservoir, Uzbekistan[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences,2011,63(3):447-460.
[12] 吕萍,刘东,赵菲菲.基于熵权的建三江分局水资源承载力模糊物元评价模型[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(2):246-250.
[13] 陈守煜.系统模糊决策理论与应用[M].大连:大连理工大学出版社,1994.
[14] 徐建华.现代地理学中的数学方法[M].2版.北京:高等教育出版社,2002.
[15] Zhang Junyi, Wang Lachun. Assessment of water resource security in Chongqing City of China:What has been done and what remains to be done[J]. Natural Hazards,2015,75(3):2751-2772.
[16] 潘兴瑶,夏军,李法虎,等.基于GIS的北方典型区水资源承载力研究:以北京市通州区为例[J].自然资源学报,2007,22(4):664-671.
[17] Meng Lihong, Chen Yaning, Li Weihong, et al. Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for water resources carrying capacity in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China[J]. Chinese Geographical Science,2009,19(1):89-95.
[18] 闵庆文,余卫东,张建新.区域水资源承载力的模糊综合评价分析方法及应用[J].水土保持研究,2004,11(3):14-16.
[19] 张军以,王腊春,马小雪,等.西南岩溶地区地下水污染及防治途径[J].水土保持通报,2014,34(2):245-249.
[20] 张军以,王腊春,苏维词,等.岩溶地区人类活动的水文效应研究现状及展望[J].地理科学进展,2014,33(8):1125-1135.

相似文献/References:

[1]张戈平,朱连勇.水资源承载力研究理论及方法初探[J].水土保持研究,2003,10(02):148.
　ZHANG Geping,ZHU Lianyong.Primary Study on the Theories and Process of Water Resources Carrying Capacity[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2003,10(01):148.
[2]张素珍,宋保平.白洋淀水资源承载力研究[J].水土保持研究,2004,11(02):100.
　ZHANG Su-zhen,SONG Bao-ping.Study on Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Baiyangdian Lake[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2004,11(01):100.
[3]王磊,章光新.吉林省中部水资源承载力研究[J].水土保持研究,2005,12(05):224.
　WANG Lei,ZHANG Guang-xin.Research on Carrying Capacity of Water Resource in the Middle Part of Jilin Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2005,12(01):224.
[4]梁春玲,张祖陆.肥城市水资源承载力评价[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(02):223.
　LIANG Chun-ling,ZHANG Zu-lu.Water Resources Carrying Capacity Assessment of Feicheng City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(01):223.
[5]王智勇,郑昭佩,韩美,等.水资源承载力分析预测——以莒南县为例[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(05):114.
　WANG Zhi-yong,ZHENG Zhao-pei,HAN Mei,et al.Analysis and Prediction on Water Resource Carrying Capacity——A Case of Jünan County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(01):114.
[6]邵金花,刘贤赵.烟台市水资源承载力的RBF神经网络评价法[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(06):115.
　SHAO Jin-hua,LIU Xian-zhao.Comprehensive Evaluation on Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Yantai City Based on Radial Basis Function Neural Network[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(01):115.
[7]赵国华,翟国静,李晓粤,等.水资源承载力的内涵与理论探析[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(06):289.
　ZHAO Guo-hua,ZHAI Guo-jing,LI Xiao-yue,et al.Researches on Connotation and Theory of Water Resource Carrying Capacity[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(01):289.
[8]王江,李靖,魏红义,等.基于TOPSIS法的区域水资源承载力预测评价——以陕西省关中地区为例[J].水土保持研究,2008,15(03):161.
　WANG Jiang,LI Jing,WEI Hong-yi,et al.The Forecast Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Regional Water Resources Based on TOPSIS Model——A Case Study of Guanzhong Region in Shaanxi Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2008,15(01):161.
[9]阚宝珠,付强,宋族鑫.基于五元联系数的湿地广义水资源承载力分析[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(01):230.
　KAN Bao-zhu,FU Qiang,SONG Zu-xin.Evaluation on Wetland Water Resources Carrying Capacity Based on Five-Element Connection Number[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(01):230.
[10]张青峰,王力,邵明安,等.长武县水资源承载力分析计算与评价[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(06):88.
　ZHANG Qing-feng,WANG Li,SHAO Ming-an,et al.Water Resources Carrying Capacity Analysis and Evaluation of Changwu County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(01):88.
[11]苑涛,何秉宇.干旱区水资源承载力分析及应用[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(03):341.
　YUAN Tao,HE Bing-yu.Research and Application of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Arid Area[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(01):341.

备注/Memo

收稿日期:2015-03-18;改回日期:2015-03-30。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金“喀斯特地区人类活动主导下的生态环境变化与流域水文循环响应耦合机理研究”（41371045）；“岩溶槽谷区水土流失特征及机理研究”（41202135）
作者简介:戴明宏(1989-),女,山东莱州人,硕士研究生,研究方向为岩溶地区水资源开发、区域可持续发展。E-mail:daiminghong89@126.com
通讯作者:王腊春(1963-),男,江苏金坛人,教授,博导,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:wang6312@263.net.cn

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01