BIAN Jian-min,HU Yu-xin,ZHANG Zhen-zhen,et al.Study on Runoff Simulation in Dongliao River Basin of Jilin Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(04):246-250.
东辽河流域吉林省境内的径流模拟研究
- Title:
- Study on Runoff Simulation in Dongliao River Basin of Jilin Province
- Keywords:
- Dongliao River basin; SWAT model; runoff simulation
- 分类号:
- P333.3
- 摘要:
- 以东辽河吉林省境内河段为研究对象，采用SWAT分布式水文模型对东辽河泉太水文站进行径流模拟，模型采用2006—2008年实测的逐月径流资料进行参数的率定，并以2009—2010年为模型的验证期，分析对水文过程影响较大的因素、模型的模拟精度及对研究区的适用性。结果表明：泉太水文站率定期与验证期径流的模拟值与实测值总体上拟合较好，率定期与验证期径流模拟的相关系数（R2）均大于0.6，Nash-Suttclife效率系数（Ens）均大于0.75，相对误差（R）均小于30%。验证期的月径流模拟相对误差较率定期小，且相关系数R2、效率系数均大于0.9，降雨是径流的重要影响因素，月径流模拟值与年内的降雨过程存在较好的正相关性，且率定期相关性较验证期相关性大。应用率定后的参数在SWAT模型中进行径流模拟的结果较好，精度较高。将SWAT模型应用于东辽河吉林省段的径流过程模拟，具有较强的适用性。
- Abstract:
- The Dongliao River in Jilin Province was taken as a case study area. Runoff simulation of the Quantai hydrological station was carried out with SWAT, a distributed hydrological model. In order to analyze the factors influencing hydrological process, the accuracy of runoff process simulation and the model applicability for the study area, parameters were calibrated by observed monthly runoff data from 2006 to 2008, and validated from 2009 to 2010. The results showed that during the calibration and validation period, the simulation results of the Quantai hydrological station were overall credible and consistent with the measured runoff, and the coefficients of determination (R2) were both greater than 0.6, and Nash-Suttclife efficiency factors (Ens) were both greater than 0.75, as well as the relative errors (R) were both less than 30%. During the validation, the relative error was smaller, the coefficients of determination (R2) and Nash-Suttclife efficiency factors were both greater than 0.9. Rainfall is an important factor affecting the runoff processes, a better positive correlation between the monthly runoff simulation and rainfall process was found during the calibration and validation period, while the calibration period is higher. However, the results were better and accurate with the calibrated parameters applied to the model. SWAT model exhibited the strong applicability when it was applied to simulate the runoff process of Dongliao River in Jilin Province.
参考文献/References:
[1] 龚磊,卢文喜,张蕾.东辽河流域水生态功能分区研究[J].人民黄河,2012,34(5):57-60.
[2] 张蕾.东辽河流域水生态功能分区与控制单元水质目标管理技术[D].长春:吉林大学,2012.
[3] 吴佳曦.吉林省东辽河流域生态环境需水量的研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2013.
[4] 程兵芬,罗先香,王刚.基于层次分析-模糊综合评价模型的东辽河流域水环境承载力评价[J].水资源保护,2012,28(6):33-36.
[5] 姜雪,卢文喜,黄鹤,等.基于WASP模型的东辽河水环境容量计算[J].节水灌溉,2012(6):56-59,63.
[6] 姜雪,卢文喜,张蕾,等.基于WASP模型的东辽河水质模拟研究[J].中国农村水利水电,2011(12):26-30.
[7] 白淑英,王莉,史建桥,等.基于SWAT模型的开都河流域径流模拟[J].干旱区资源与环境,2013,27(9):79-84.
[8] 董国强,杨志勇,史晓亮,等.基于SWAT模型的滦河流域径流模拟[J].人民黄河,2013,35(6):46-52.
[9] 郝振纯,侯艳茹,张余庆,等.基于SWAT模型的皇甫川流域径流模拟研究[J].中国农村水利水电,2013(5):6-10.
[10] 姚苏红,朱仲元,张圣微.基于SWAT模型的内蒙古闪电河流域径流模拟研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2013,27(1):175-180.
[11] 顾万龙,竹磊磊,许红梅,等.SWAT模型在气候变化对水资源影响研究中的应用:以河南省中部农业区为例[J].生态学杂志,2010,29(2):395-400.
[12] 谢媛媛.基于SWAT模型的罗玉沟流域森林植被变化的水文生态响应研究[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(4):197-202.
[13] 朱丽,秦富仓,姚云峰,等.SWAT模型灵敏性分析模块在中尺度流域的应用:以密云县红门川流域为例[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(1):161-165,275.
[14] 王亚军,周陈超,贾绍凤,等.基于SWAT模型的湟水流域径流模拟与评价[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(6):394-397,406.
[15] 唐莉华,林文婧,张思聪,等.基于SWAT模型的温榆河流域非点源污染模拟与分析[J].水力发电学报,2010,29(4):6-13.
[16] 卞建民,胡昱欣,李育松,等. 基于BP神经网络的辽河源头区水质评价研究[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(1):147-151.
[17] 李迪.基于SWAT模型的东辽河流域农业非点源污染模拟研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2011.
[18] 曹艳,张宝新.东辽河流域水文气象特性分析[J].吉林水利,2006(6):30-31.
[19] 杨姗姗,徐征和,孔珂,等.基于SWAT模型的卧虎山水库流域径流模拟[J].中国农村水利水电,2013(5):11-14,19.
[20] 张展羽,司涵,孔莉莉,等.基于SWAT模型的小流域非点源氮磷迁移规律研究[J].农业工程学报,2013,29(2):93-100.
[21] 孙瑞,张雪琴.基于SWAT模型的流域径流模拟研究进展[J].水文,2010,30(3):28-32.
[22] 朱乔,梁睿,晋华,等.基于SWAT模型的岚河流域径流模拟[J].水电能源科学,2013(3):25-27.
[23] Moriasi D N, Arnold J G, Van Liew M W, et al. Model evaluation guideliness for systematic quantification of accuracy in watershed simulation[J]. Transactions of the ASABE,2007,50(3):885-900.
[24] 谢淼.石头口门水库汇水区土地利用情景分析及水资源污染模拟研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2013.
相似文献/References:
[1]任希岩,张雪松,郝芳华,等.DEM分辨率对产流产沙模拟影响研究[J].水土保持研究,2004,11(01):1.
REN Xi-yan,ZHANG Xue-song,HAO Fang-hua,et al.Effects of DEM Resolutions on Simulated Runoff and Sediment Yields[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2004,11(04):1.
[2]丁飞,潘剑君.分布式水文模型SWAT的发展与研究动态[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(01):33.
DING Fei,PAN Jian-jun.Development and Advances in Research on SWAT Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(04):33.
[3]于磊,朱新军.基于SWAT的中尺度流域土地利用变化水文响应模拟研究[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(04):53.
YU Lei,ZHU Xin-jun.Simulation of Hydrological Response to Land Use Changes in Medium Scale Basin Based on SWAT[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(04):53.
[4]秦富仓,张丽娟,余新晓,等.SWAT模型自动校准模块在云州水库流域参数率定研究[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(02):86.
QIN Fu-cang,ZHANG Li-juan,YU Xin-xiao,et al.Research of Automatic Calibration Module of SWAT Model in Yunzhou Reservoir Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(04):86.
[5]卢爱刚,索安宁,张镭.基于SWAT模型的黄土高原典型区水土流失格局模拟评价[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(02):57.
LU Ai-gang,SUO An-ning,ZHANG Lei.Simulation of Spatial Pattern of Soil Water Loss in a Watershed of the Loess Plateau Based SWAT Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(04):57.
[6]谢媛媛.SWAT模型在黄土丘陵区参数敏感度分析及率正研究[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(04):204.
XIE Yuan-yuan.Study on the Sensitivity Analysis and Calibration of Parameter in SWAT Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(04):204.
[7]谢媛媛.基于SWAT模型的罗玉沟流域森林植被变化的水文生态响应研究[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(04):197.
XIE Yuan-yuan.Study on the Ecological Response of Hydrology on Forest Vegetation Change in Luoyu Watershed Based on the SWAT Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(04):197.
[8]朱丽,秦富仓,姚云峰,等.SWAT模型灵敏性分析模块在中尺度流域的应用——以密云县红门川流域为例[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(01):161.
ZHU Li,QIN Fu-cang,YAO Yun-feng,et al.Research of Sensitivity Analysis Module of SWAT Model in Middle-scale Watershed—A Case Study of Hongmenchuan Watershed in Miyun County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(04):161.
[9]史晓亮,杨志勇,吕杰,等.滦河流域气候变化的水文响应研究[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(02):123.
SHI Xiaoliang,YANG Zhiyong,Lü Jie,et al.Hydrological Response to Climate Change in Luanhe River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(04):123.
[10]祁敏,张超.基于SWAT模型的阿克苏河流域径流模拟[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(03):283.
QI Min,ZHANG Chao.Runoff Simulation in Aksu River Basin Based on SWAT Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(04):283.
[11]孙丽娜,梁冬梅.东辽河流域未来土地利用变化对水文影响的研究[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(05):164.
SUN Lina,LIANG Dongmei.Effect of Future Land Use Change on Hydrology in Dongliaohe Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(04):164.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2014-04-30;改回日期:2014-05-19。
基金项目:国家水体污染控制与治理重大科技专项（2012ZX07202-009）
作者简介:卞建民(1968-),女,吉林延吉人,教授,博士生导师,主要从事地下水资源评价、水环境与水生态方面的研究。Email:bianjianmin@126.com