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收稿日期:2012-09-26;改回日期:2012-11-05。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金青年项目(40901011)
作者简介:尚志海(1979-),男,河北迁安人,博士,副教授,研究方向:环境灾害风险评价。E-mail:shangzhihai@126.com