[1]木沙·如孜,白云岗,雷晓云,等.塔里木河流域气候及径流变化特征研究[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(06):122-126.
　MUSHA·Ruzi,BAI Yun-gang,LEI Xiao-yun,et al.Study on the Change of Climate and Runoff in the Tarim River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(06):122-126.
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塔里木河流域气候及径流变化特征研究

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 19 期数: 2012年06期 页码: 122-126 栏目: 出版日期: 2012-12-20
Title:
Study on the Change of Climate and Runoff in the Tarim River Basin
作者:
木沙·如孜1,2, 白云岗2, 雷晓云1, 肖军2
1. 新疆农业大学 水利与土木工程学院, 乌鲁木齐 830052;
2. 新疆水利水电科学研究院, 乌鲁木齐 830049
Author(s):
MUSHA·Ruzi1,2, BAI Yun-gang2, LEI Xiao-yun1, XIAO Jun2
1. College of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Xinjiang Agriculture University, Urumqi 830052, China;
2. Xinjiang Research Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower, Urumqi 830049, China
关键词:
塔里木河流域; 气温; 降水量; 气候变化; 径流变化
Keywords:
Tarim River Basin; temperature; precipitation; climate variation; runoff change
分类号:
P461+.5
摘要:
以塔里木河流域的26个气象站和8个水文站1961-2005年的观测资料为基础,对塔里木河流域的温度、降水,径流变化及它们之间的相关关系进行了分析.结果表明:塔里木河流域的年平均气温、降水量逐年代递增趋势.2000年后的平均气温与多年平均气温相比增加了0.75℃,增幅7.69%,其中平原区增幅大于山区;降水量增加了16.65mm,增幅17.89%,其中山区增幅大于平原区;在1961-2008年间塔里木河流域干流径流量逐年减少,2000年后平均径流量与多年平均径流量相比干流阿拉尔站减少了1.35亿m3,减幅为3.00%;叶尔羌河玉孜门勒克站增加了1.91亿m3,增幅为21.80%;和田河同古孜洛克站径流量增加了1.76亿m3,增幅7.88%;乌鲁瓦提站增加了1.75亿m3,增幅达8.06%;开孔河黄水沟站增加了0.58亿m3,增幅达19.48%;大山口站增加了5.43亿m3,增幅达14.33%.通过对20世纪80年代前后开孔河与叶尔羌河年平均径流与年平均气温、平均降水关系的分析发现,气候变化下温度升高对径流的影响较大,尤其是形成于塔北昆仑山水系的河流.
Abstract:
In this paper, based on observations in 26 meteorological stations and 8 hydrological stations of the Tarim River Basin, the changes of temperature, precipitation, runoff, and the relationship between them were analyzed from 1961 to 2005.The results showed that annual mean temperature, precipitation increased by time trend in the Tarim River Basin. After year of 2000, average temperature increased 0.75℃ with an increase rate of 7.69% compared to the long-term average value, in which a increase was larger than in plain area than mountainous area; precipitation increased 16.65mm with an increase rate of 17.89%, in which the increase was more in the mountainous area than plain area; from 1961 to 2008 in Tarim River Basin, river runoff decreased year by year. After year of 2000, compared to long-term average runoff, the average runoff of the Alar station reduced by 1.35×108m3 with the decrease rate of 3%; runoff of Yarkent river Yuzminleke station increased 1.91×108m3 with an increase rate of 21.80%; and the runoff of Hotan river Tongguzleke station runoff increased 1.76×108m3 with an increase rate of 7.88%; the runoff of Wuluwati station increased 1.75×108 m3 with an increase rate of 8.06%; the runoff of Kaikong River Huangshuiguo Station increases 0.58×108m3 with an increase rate of 19.48%; the runoff of the Dashankou station increased 5.43×108 m3 with an increase of 14.33%. Through the analysis on annual average runoff and annual average temperature in the Kaikong of river and Yarkent River before and after 1980s, it could be seen that the effects of average precipitation, climate change temperature on runoff was significant; especially the effect was very remarkable in the river basin origining from the Tarim North Kunlun mountainous.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2012-4-22;改回日期:2012-6-6。
基金项目:水利部公益性行业科研专项(201001066);新疆自治区水利水电工程重点学科基金;新疆自治区水文学及水资源重点学科基金
作者简介:木沙·如孜(1985- ),男(维吾尔族),新疆拜城县人,在读硕士研究生,主要从事农业抗旱减灾方面的研究.E-mail:545796230@qq.com
通讯作者:白云岗(1974- ),男,新疆奇台县人,高级工程师,主要从事农业抗旱减灾方面的研究.E-mail:xjbaiyg@sina.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01