[1]张戈丽,王立本,董金玮.基于熵权法的济南市水安全时间序列研究[J].水土保持研究,2008,15(01):131-134.
　ZHANG Ge-li,WANG Li-ben,DONG Jin-wei.Time-series Analysis in Water Security Assessment of Ji’nan City Based on Entropy Weight[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2008,15(01):131-134.
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基于熵权法的济南市水安全时间序列研究

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 15 期数: 2008年01期 页码: 131-134 栏目: 出版日期: 2008-02-20
Title:
Time-series Analysis in Water Security Assessment of Ji’nan City Based on Entropy Weight
作者:
张戈丽, 王立本, 董金玮
山东师范大学 人口·资源与环境学院, 济南 250014
Author(s):
ZHANG Ge-li, WANG Li-ben, DONG Jin-wei
College of Population, Resources and Environment, Shandong Normal University, Ji’nan 250014, China
关键词:
水安全; 熵权; PSR模型; 济南
Keywords:
water security; entropy weight; PSR (Pressure-State-Response) Model; Ji’nan
分类号:
X52
摘要:
人口压力、水污染等全球性问题已经使得水安全重要性越来越突出，如何有效地评价和监测水安全对于人类可持续发展具有重要的意义。首先分析了目前我国水安全问题，在此基础上以济南市为例，采用改进的PSR模型构建济南市水安全评价指标体系，通过熵权法确定指标权重，计算出2000年以来济南市水安全评价综合指数序列，并在此基础上进行相关分析与预测。结果表明：济南市水安全指数逐年升高，压力、状态、响应呈现不同的变化幅度，人类社会经济活动对水环境的影响较大。最后提出了解决济南市水安全问题的保障措施。
Abstract:
Global problems like population pressure, water pollution and so on have already make people recognize that the water security is becoming more and more important.Effectively assessing and monitoring the water security is significant to the human sustainable development.Firstly the article discussed the problems of water security in China, on which taken Ji’nan as the example, used the improved PSR model to construct water security assessment indicator system of water security in Ji’nan.Index weights of water security assessment indicators were determined by entropy method.Then get composite indices of water security assessment since 2000, on the basis of it carry through the correlation analysis and forecast.The results expressed that the composite index of Ji’nan had been increasing since 2000, with different models of pressure, state and response.Human economical activities have played an important role for that.Finally some suggestions were taken for water security problem.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2006-9-10
基金项目:济南市东联供水可行性研究
作者简介:张戈丽（1983- ），女，山东淄博人，硕士研究生，主要从事生态环境规划与管理等研究。

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01