YANG Xiao-peng.Driven Analysis of Reforestration Project to the Agro-economy in Shanxi Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(04):230-232.
陕西退耕还林工程对农业经济的驱动分析
- Title:
- Driven Analysis of Reforestration Project to the Agro-economy in Shanxi Province
- 分类号:
- X171.1;F301
- 摘要:
- 根据1990~2004年陕西统计资料,通过对比来揭示退耕还林工程的实施,对农村劳动力结构、农业产业结构和农户收入水平的巨大影响力;构建农户收入水平的模型,并加以分析,得出结论:退耕还林工程的实施,明显地提高了农户收入,促进了农村劳动力结构和农业产业结构的转变.发现农户经济收入趋势线正处在朱格拉经济周期内,并根据趋势方程对未来5a的发展状况做出预测.
- Abstract:
- According to the 1990 to 2004 statistics of Shaanxi province,comparison study revealed great influence of reforestration project on the rural labor structure,agriculture structure and peasants’ income.A peasantsincome model was constructed and given a further analysis.The results indicate that the implementation of the project of returning farmland to forest significantly improves the farmer’s income as well as promotes the readjustment of rural labour structure and agricultural composition.It also finds that the trend line of peasants’ income is within Juglar Cycle,and it predicts its development in the forthcoming five years in light of the trend equation.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期:2007-3-14;改回日期:2007-6-23。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(40371003)
作者简介:杨小鹏(1976- ),男,硕士,陕西教育学院助教, 主要从事经济地理及GIS相关研究.