[1]孔伟,欧名豪.江苏省耕地资源态势与粮食安全对策研究[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(06):69-71.
　KONG Wei,OU Ming-hao.Current Situation of Cultivated Land Resources and Food Security in Jiangsu Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(06):69-71.
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江苏省耕地资源态势与粮食安全对策研究

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 13 期数: 2006年06期 页码: 69-71 栏目: 出版日期: 1900-01-01
Title:
Current Situation of Cultivated Land Resources and Food Security in Jiangsu Province
作者:
孔伟, 欧名豪
南京农业大学公共管理学院, 南京, 210095
Author(s):
KONG Wei, OU Ming-hao
College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China
关键词:
江苏省; 耕地资源态势; 粮食安全
Keywords:
Jiangsu Province; current situation of cultivated land resources; food security
分类号:
F301.24
摘要:
耕地安全是粮食安全的基础和保障。分析了改革开发以来江苏省耕地总量和人均耕地的变化趋势，运用多元线性回归模型对其2020年的耕地数量作出了预测；并对2020年全省耕地最低需求量进行了初步预测。结果表明在未来一定时期内，江苏省耕地资源供需矛盾和粮食安全问题较为突出。解决粮食安全问题的根本途径在于保护省内现有耕地资源，稳定和提高粮食综合生产能力。
Abstract:
The cultivated land security is the foundation and safeguard of the food security.The authors analyze the quantitative change characteristic of the cultivated land in Jiangsu Province in recent years,and forecast its quantity in 2020 with the regressive multianalysis model.The article also forecasts the minimum demand of whole Jiangsu Province for the cultivated land up to the year 2020.The contrastive analysis indicates that in the future,the contradiction between its supply and demand and its food security problem will be obvious.The basic way to solve the food security problem is to protect the existing cultivated land and to stabilize and enhance the grain synthetical productivity.

参考文献/References:

[1] 王雅鹏.粮食安全保护与可持续发展[M].北京:中国农业出版社, 2005.155-159.
[2] 傅泽强, 蔡运龙, 杨友孝, 等.中国粮食安全与耕地资源变化的相关分析[J].自然资源学报, 2001, 16(4):313-319.
[3] 倪绍祥, 谭少华.江苏省耕地安全问题探讨[J].自然资源学报, 2002, 17(3):307-312.
[4] 钱文荣.城市化过程中的耕地保护问题研究[M].北京:中国农业出版社, 2000.83-88.
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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2006-1-9。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金（70573052）；教育部博士点基金（20050307036）
作者简介:孔伟（1982- ），女，山东枣庄人，南京农业大学公共管理学院在读硕士，研究方向为土地利用规划与经济.

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01